IAHR World Congress, 2019

APPLICATION OF AN OPTIMIZATION MODEL FOR THE WATER MANAGEMENT UNDER CLIMATE SCENARIOS OF THE LAGUNILLAS INTEGRAL SYSTEM OF THE PERUVIAN ALTIPLANO

Isidro A. Pilares-hualpa 1,2 Roberto Alfaro-Alejo 1,2 Robert Pilares-hualpa 3 Carlos Pilares-calla 4
1Professional School of Civil Engineering, Andean University Nestor Caceres Velasquez, Peru
2Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, National University of the Altiplano Puno, Peru
3Regional Government of Arequipa, Autonomous Authority of Majes, Peru
4Faculty of Civil Engineering, National University of Engineering, Peru

The main aim of this research work is to apply an optimization model for the management under climate scenarios of the multipurpose Lagunillas Integral System, located in the Peruvian Altiplano using the WEAP linear programming methodology that satisfies the water demand of the system. In this optimization, concepts such as financial analysis were used, comparing the cost-benefit ratio processed by the WEAP allocation algorithm and evaluating the water supply preference options for each project and that due to these economic reasons will have the highest priority. The process of generation of scenarios for the modeling of the system was made in the first place under real conditions with historical information and under the influence of climate change considering the climate projection of greater influence CANESM2-RCP4.5 and CNRM_CMI4.5 and considering 3 scenarios of operation: 1) Running only reservoir Lagunillas; 2) Running reservoir Lagunillas with water transfer from the Verde river and 3) Running reservoir Lagunillas and reservoir Verde river. The results obtained for the first scenario, show that the Cabanilla and Cabanilla - Chatapujio Project have the highest net benefits, for the other scenarios, the net benefits increase. The optimization with proposed linear programming shows that in addition to increasing the efficiency of water use in reservoirs, the levels of volume stored in the Lagunillas and Verde reservoirs are maintained more uniformly. Likewise, with the optimization it is possible to satisfy the demands raised to 100% with the operating scenario of the two reservoirs of Lagunillas and Verde river.









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